Monday, October 29, 2018

Introducing Balance, Replacing the Skill Attribute in Championship Formula Racing

I wish I could credit this properly but I heard a great quote on one of the podcasts I listen to -- probably Ludology:
"You are never finished with a game design, but eventually you have to publish it."
Championship Formula Racing has certainly been that kind of game.  In fact, I used to roll out new tweaks every year or so.  I've tried to tamp that down now that an actual printed version exists.  However, I think it is time to start talking about 3-4 changes I will be testing for inclusion in whatever the next version of CFR is.

I identified 4 areas to work on: slip streaming, forced passing, pole bidding, and skill.  Over a couple of blog-posts I'm going to outline my objectives and proposed solutions.  I expect and hope that the community will pitch in with their thoughts as well.

Lets jump right in then with what is the most expansive of the proposed changes.  Buckle in, this is not a short conversation.

Balance

Balance is a new attribute that would replace the skill attribute.  Instead of providing a pool of skill chips that can be used to modify die rolls.  Balance provides a modifier to all rolls that degrades over time in different ways.  I basically took this opportunity to re-work a lot about how die-rolls work in CFR.

Problems

Every one of the new rules I am introducing was spurred by issues I wanted to address in the current rule set.  I hope that Balance can address a number of issues.  Lets spend a little time looking at the problems I hope to address.

Skill is the Least Valuable Attribute

The only time I ever consider taking more than the minimum amount of skill is if I already have 8 wear per lap and absolutely can not figure out why I would want more of any other attribute.  Sometimes, I will take a lot of skill just to dump into a pole bid.  But I usually only want to have 2-4 skill in hand at the start of a 3 lap race.  maybe 1 or 2 for pushing my start speed.  Maybe 1 or 2 in the bank in case I need to try a chance or forced pass.

Think about it this way.  Would you rather have an extra 20 mph in acc or dec or top speed or an extra 9% chance of making a couple tests each lap?  If I think I can use that extra 20 mph in an attribute at least twice per lap I will decrease my skill to get it every time.

I'd rather all attributes have their place.  I'd rather find a way to make skill have value... maybe not for everyone, but at least for a decent number of people in a good number of situations.  This was my main goal for Balance.

Die-rolls are Too Complicated

Until you have the chart memorized, you had to check after every roll.  I still don't have the entire chart memorized and sometimes have to check it.  That feels very much like the old wargames influence that Avalon Hill added to Speed Circuit coming through.

I don't like the fact that many turns will go by without any die rolls and yet die rolls take up a disproportionate amount of the rule book.  Simplifying the rule book is noble in and of itself but I think it is also good proxy for game complexity.  For what it is, die-rolls just seem too complex.

So if I can to simplify something here I want to but not at all costs.  These issues are listed in order.  I care more about improving the value of the attribute than simplicity.  The next two items play into making things easier as well, I hope.

Higher Rolls Should be Better

This is a minor thing and Speed Circuit has always had high rolls be bad, but I think high rolls being good is more intuitive.  Especially when you think about the die roll modifiers.  A -1 modifier being a good thing is counter intuitive.

I know that most of the current players are used to this concept, but I just think it works better for new people if we take the time to fix this while I can.

Skill Chips are Clunky

The fact that you had to declare skill chip use before a die roll was always confusing for new people and have caught more than a few veterans napping as well..  The difference between the -1 and -3 chips can also be confusing.  The fact that there were limits to their use (only -2 unless you have a -3).  It all was just a lot.

The Solution?

As I noted above, Balance replaces Skill as the 6th attribute.  Below is a quick chart of what the 4 Balance attribute cards would look like.


Set-up

After car attributes are selected and revealed for all cars.  Negative or positive modifier chips are placed on that car's Balance card based on what the card indicates.  These Balance modifiers affect ALL die-rolls in the game.

In addition, create a starting Engine modifier pool equal to 1 plus 1 for every lap this race is scheduled to run.  (For a 3 lap race, each car would start with a +4 Engine Modifier.)  These modifiers are used only for engine tests -- acceleration, top speed, and start speed.

Deceleration modifiers can accumulate later in the race.

Die Rolls

All die rolls remain 2d6.  Modifiers are applied to those die-rolls based on that car's current modifiers.  These modifiers are not point pools like skill is now.  All appropriate modifiers are applied to every roll made.

After modifiers are applied, a result of 8 or more is a success, a result of 6 or less is a failure, and a 7 is a minor failure.  Box cars is always a success regardless of modifiers.  This is true for all die rolls.

Exactly what happens when each die-roll fails or succeeds varies.

Modifiers

There are effectively 3 sets of modifiers: Balance modifiers, Deceleration Modifiers, and Engine Modifiers.  Balance modifiers (the ones that each driver bought with their Balance attribute) apply to ALL die rolls.  Deceleration modifiers only apply to deceleration tests.  Engine modifiers only apply to acceleration, top speed, and start speed tests.

For example, if I had +1 Balance modifier and +4 Engine modifier, I would be at +5 to test my start speed.

Engine Tests

The chart below shows the results of the three engine tests.


Mis-shift means that the car ends up going 40 mph slower than attempted.  This is a big change over how we do things now and I think is more intuitive than the current result -- especially for top speed tests.

Like now, acceleration and top speed failures reduce the tested attribute by 20.  A second engine failure will also still result in a DNF.

The new Minor Failure result is a failure (and mis-shift) without damaging the engine.

Note that every time a car tests its engine it will reduce it's Engine modifiers by 1.  This represents wear and tear on the engine when it is pushed to it's limits. 

Also note that a Start Speed test is always rolled at -2 compared to Acceleration and Top Speed tests.

Below are some odds to give you a sense of what this means mathematically.


The odds above assume the start of a 3 lap race.  Of course these odds deteriorate each time such a roll is attempted.  But note that the first 2 tests at +3 Balance would automatically pass.  Odds would start out worse in a 1 or 2 lap race and would start out better for races of 4 laps or more. 


The odds above are also for a 3 lap race.  Start speed test odds never change since you can only ever test this at the first turn of the race.

Deceleration Tests 


First note that deceleration tests have a permanent +2 modifier.

Just as now, a failure results in reducing deceleration by 20 and requiring the car to use 1 wear for the deceleration (remember deceleration tests never really fail, they just result in penalties).  A second failure will still result in a DNF.

The new Minor Failure is a failure without deceleration damage.

Note that every time a deceleration test is made at least -2 will be added to that car's deceleration.  More for the failures.  Brake stress is mostly about over-heating.  But heat dissipates over time so every time a car passes a sector marker (there are 3 every lap) it removes a -1 modifier from its deceleration.


Above is the starting odds for deceleration at different balance buys.  

Because of how negative deceleration modifiers go away, if you do not test brakes too often and do not fail your rolls, you can keep testing deceleration or late braking at the same odds through out the race.  With +3 balance, that could be very powerful.

Balance Tests


Forced passing is the only die-roll without a Minor Fail result -- they simply count as failures which work exactly as before.  The only difference for forced passing from the current rule is that the attacker can be "damaged" even if the defender does not block and damage takes the form of -1 balance modifiers instead of wear.

Chance rolls are pretty similar to before but cars will take negative balance modifiers every time -- unless they crash.

Crash avoidance gets its own set of results -- which I think is cleaner -- and they are friendlier results.


Above are the starting odds for Forced Passes. Below are the odds for chances and crash avoidance.



The biggest strategic thing about these rolls is how balance modifiers affect every other die roll.  If you take a chance in the first corner, your balance is reduced by -1 even if you succeed and that will impact every other roll all race.  Forced passes, on the other hand, might never drop your Balance modifiers.

Pole Bids and Tie Breakers

Two things this also means.  First, there are no skill chips to use on pole bids now... only wear.  Second, Balance modifiers affect ALL die rolls.  So pole bid tie-breakers should always use 2d6, high winning, and apply Balance modifiers.

How Does This Impact the Game?

Lets looks at my goals and also some unintended consequences I've already noticed.

Is Balance More Valuable Than Skill Was?

I think so.  The 2 pt buy of +3 skill comes with some serious possibilities.  I could late brake into 1 or 2 corners every lap with no chance of damaging my deceleration.  I've got 3 or 4 basically free acceleration or top speed tests. Forced passes and at least my first chance come with a 83% success.

I would also seriously think about a +1 or +3 skill if I wanted to test my start speed.  In the past you could take only 2 skill per lap and still have enough to throw skill at the start speed table.  Low balance will make that roll very risky.

The fact that balance can now impact tie-breakers for pole bid -- and I suspect there will be more ties now that there is no skill to bid with -- could be interesting as well.

But in the end, we'll have to see.

Die-rolls are Too Complicated

Knowing that all rolls are the same helps (< 7 fails, etc.).  I also want to rejigger the stat cards so that die roll notes are on the cards.  Then in theory all you have to do is add up the related modifiers, roll, and hope you get 8 or more.  I am a big fan of off-loading rules from the book to the components when you can.

I suspect it will become less complicated as people get used to it.  But I'm not convinced it will in all be easier.

Higher Rolls Should be Better

Well I can check that one off as a success!

Skill Chips are Clunky

I think this method of modifying rolls is easier to deal with.  But I did add some complexity with changing modifiers, especially the fact that deceleration modifiers go away over time.  This might end up being a wash.

Pole Bids

I like the fact that now bids can only be made with wear.  I think it will lower the bids generally but it also may cause slightly more pain for people who do bid for pole.  I'm not going to go as far as to say that this will balance out run-from-behind strategies but it might help.

Implementation

There is already testing planned for this, but you should feel free to implement on your own if you want.  Usage of this rule set will still allow races to count towards Organized Play.

Here is a one-page cheat sheet.

What Do You Think?

Enough from me.  Give me your reactions.

25 comments:

  1. The success result on the Engine test table is the same as the minor failure result. Is there perhaps a typo here or am I just not understanding what you're saying?

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    1. The missing piece is that there is no damage (-20) to the attribute for a minor failure.

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    2. Minor Failure includes a mis-shift. All results have the -1 to Engine mods.

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  2. If it makes for more exciting duelling between drivers in a race then I'm all for it. These changes *look* like they will deliver more of that but I guess we won't know until we've road-tested them a bit. It was either go down this route or find a way to bump up the quantity/value/applications of Skill Points. I will miss the concept of drivers making a difference though - would there be a way to keep some concept of driver skill in the game? Maybe have one/two/three chits that can be bought and spent like Jokers to guarantee a pass/block during each race? Something simple but which adds that extra uncertainty and fun?

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  3. I don't think this makes things any easier to remember - sure, the die roll is always 8 to pass- but if I have to look up a bunch of modifiers each time, then I'm still checking charts (I guarantee I won't remember all these modifiers!).

    That said, not does NOT mean I don't like them - I'm still digesting them. I do agree that Skill is the least-valued attribute, and is often used just to pump up the pole bid, so I am happy to see something done about that.

    I also very much like the fact that the rules make for more realistic car effects Use your brakes too hard and they will overheat to the point of breaking - these rules encourage letting them cool off between hard usage. Stress the engine too much and it is more likely to have a failure. And overall car balance can suffer as you abuse the car. I see all these as positives.

    So I will be interested in seeing the results of test games. I will try and get a few run with our Detroit group as well.

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    1. Not sure why I can't get my name to show - this is Jack Beckman.

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  4. Also, is "The 2 pt buy of +3 skill comes with some serious possibilities." supposed to be "The 2 pt buy of +3 BALANCE comes with some serious possibilities."?

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  5. Your Start Speed Test chart for a 3 lap race shows a 91.67% chance of success for a +3 Balance, but it looks to me that it should be 97.2% successful. If your Engine Mod starts at 1 + number of laps, that would be 4, +3 for Balance and -2 for all Start Speed rolls would equal a final modifier of +5. Therefore, you would need to roll a 3 or better on 2d6 which is 97.2%.

    Unless I'm missing something. :)

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    1. Your Start Speed Test chart looks like it's based on an additional -3 for all rolls instead of -2.

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  6. Definitely doesn't seem simpler at first blush, especially for new people. Won't we need to track how many attempts have been made and failed? How will we track that? Not against them. I'm playing in the Redscape fund race coming up and we'll use them there. Then, I'll know more.

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  7. We will need either the build cards or a playmat (for those of us who don't use the cards) to place chips on. Hand out green chips for the number of Balance bought. Hand out some other color (I have a few here) 1+ number of laps for Engine. The card/mat would then say that you add the number of chips to they types of rolls. You would hand out a red chip for each Brake test, and the driver would hand it back when passing a sector marker (but, I assume, not if you pass one the same turn you acquire it). You would subtract on brake tests for each red chip possessed.

    That does mean you could get rid of it the very next turn though is some cases, and several turns away in others. But otherwise you might have to track the number of spaces run without testing brakes, and that would be a royal pain.

    So yeah, NOT simpler. Not terrible, but I think the goal of "making dice rolls simpler" is NOT going to be met by these rules.

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    1. Jack, in the trail we will be handing the -1 brake chips back as soon as the sector marker is entered, even mid-turn if that's the case.

      By the way, I'm assuming the sector begins AT the sector marker, not past it.

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  8. My first thought is how would this affect pitting rules? Can balance be restored with a pit? Answer: probably no effect?
    On the whole, it looks like this will add another layer of bookkeeping (I like the chip method just fine). For players who like lots of details (and I do), then the balance stat may make for a more interesting game. However, I suspect that its complexity might scare away new players who might otherwise try the existing version. I look forward to giving this new rule a try, at the very least.

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    1. I can see maybe getting 1 or 2 back (not past starting amount though) if you stay in the pits an extra turn - wing adjustments, pulling debris out of the radiator, etc.

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    2. I do not think pitting would have any impact on Balance.

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  9. Also, interesting that someone who plans to race without making tests can take a low balance stat and never worry about blocking forced pass attempts (they will always block since they don't care what their balance stat is).
    I suspect that replacing skill with balance will make this a very different game.

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    1. So what happens when I get to -5 or -6? I'll tell you - you'll be forced to try to decel for something in front of you and you'll fail. At least that's what would happen to me!

      Is there a limit to how negative you can go? I don't see one, and there probably shouldn't be one.

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    2. Jack, no real limit to how negative you can go. But a natural 12 / box cars always succeeds.

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  10. I think this shifts from Skill being the least valuable attribute to Balance being necessary to spend at least 1 and preferably 2 points if you want to roll dice at all. I think players will either spend 2 points and roll more or spend -1 on Balance and not roll dice at all.

    With Skill, even if I spend -1 or 0 points, I feel like I’m getting something for the race, even if I bid most or all of it away for qualifying.

    I think it’s also made it more difficult to explain to new players and more difficult to keep track of all the modifiers. It also shifts from needing to consult charts to determine what die roll is successful to consulting charts to determine what modifiers apply.

    Just to give one example, in the last race I ran with the Detroit group, I spent 0 points on Skill and got 9 -1 Skill tokens (3 x 3 laps) and 1 -3 Skill token. I bid 7 -1 and 1 -3 for qualifying. That combined with bidding 3 Wear resulted in a front row start (missed pole by rolling 00 compared to 29).

    I used 2 -1 Skill tokens to increase Start Speed which resulted in a 91.667% success rate, 8.333% chance of partial failure (resulting in a start speed of 80 instead of 120) and 0% chance of failure (start at 0).

    Later in the race I rolled an unmodified Top Speed test with an 83.333% chance of success.

    In hindsight, I should have rolled 2 more Top Speed tests each with the same 83.333% success rate. Had I done that I probably would not have needed to make a chance roll later in the race and I may have been in a position to win the race.

    On the final corner of the last lap, I rolled an unmodified chance with a 41.667% chance of success, 41.667% chance of spinning and 16.667% chance of crashing.

    Fortunately, I made the roll and finished 2nd.

    Compare that to spending 0 points to get -1 Balance.

    First I would potentially have had to bid more Wear to start on the front row.

    For the start of the 3 lap race, I would start with a +4 Engine Modifier. That, combined with a -1 Balance and -2 Start Speed Modifier, would require rolling 7 or higher (58.333% chance) to succeed at increasing my Start Speed. It would have 13.889% chance of partial failure (resulting in the same start speed of 80 instead of 120) and a 27.778% chance of complete failure. To me, those aren’t very good odds for the start of the race. If I did decide to increase Start Speed, my Engine Modifier would now be +3.

    For the first Top Speed test (my Top Speed in the race was 140), I would need to roll 6 (+3 Engine Modifier, -1 Balance) or higher (72.222% chance) to go 160. Any failure (11.111% partial and 16.667% complete) would result in a 120 speed for that turn.

    Assuming I passed that and later wanted to roll 2nd and 3rd Top Speed tests, the chances of success drop to 58.333% and 41.667% respectively. This compared to an 83.333% chance for each with Skill instead of Balance.

    And the Chance roll on the last corner of the last lap, would be much harder with a 27.778% chance of success compared to 41.667% which is already very low odds.

    Of course, I realize that these changes would affect everyone and everyone would likely change their strategies as a result.

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  11. If anyone cares to watch these rules play out in the PBEM format, we have a race kicking off next week: http://www.redscape.com/viewforum.php?f=201

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  12. I think this is going to be interesting to watch play out. I agree with Bill that I these rules will probably polarise the choices and there are really only two sensible options, either spend 2 and roll lots, or spend -1 and never roll.


    It might make from that back strategies more viable if forced passes are easier so that could be a good thing.


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  13. Here's some info that might be helpful. I was curious as to the number of rolls in a race, so I built a spreadsheet to count the rolls in a race, it tracks which attribute is being tested and how many skill chips were spent on those rolls. I kind of wish, I had tracked unsuccessful rolls, but that is not important to this discussion. First I've analyzed 2 completed races (Autodromo C1 and Estoril C1) and I'm currently tracking all 4 Indy races. Out of the 70 drivers in these 6 races, 37 have bid -1, 26 0, and 7 1 point on skill. Roughly 45% of the skill points are spent during bidding. ( I can calculate a true percentage, if any one wants to see it.) Another 16% of the skill points are spent on start speed. The majority of the rest of the skill points are spent on Acceleration, Deceleration, and Top Speed, with a few on Chance rolls, and rarely a forced pass. The one thing that this data points out is the the majority of the rolls in the game are for turn 1, pushing start speed, (One chart for 1 turn and it is fairly understood by most long time players.) and on exceeding one of the speed attributes (acceleration, deceleration, and top speed. These three charts are all the same and are easily remembered by almost all drivers. So 90% of the rolls occur on one of 2 charts, this seems to negate the point that "Dice-rolls are too complicated."

    As to "Higher rolls should be better", it would be quite simple to invert the charts for the current dice-roll system without replacing the system. So I see this issue as a wash for either system. I would point out that there is a lot of history for a game system that is over 40 years of learning, so I would expect that there would be confusion for a couple of years in changing from high to low rolls being bad.

    I'm not sure of the reason behind single and triple skill chips other than to limit the number of triple rolls in a game. I would propose that skill chips be able to be combined up to 3 at any time. This would eliminate a bit of the clunky chip handling. As to the effect this would have, let's take a look at a player bidding 0 now. He gets 1 3 chip token and 9 individual tokens, if you assume he doesn't spend them in the bidding process they can then modify 1 die roll by 3, 4 die rolls by 2, and 1 die roll by 1 if they applying maximum skill to their rolls. If they are allowed to combine chips up to 3 then they could modify 4 rolls by 3 with maximum skill points. It might be more enticing to spend a point or even 2 points if you are guaranteed success for 4 rolls during a race.

    At this point the proposed balance systems seems more complex to me than the current skill point system.

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  14. Does not look simpler; in fact looks more complex. But, this is a first brush at explaining a new concept. It's not been through any refinement nor editing for insertion in a rules book or tutorial. So, it could be that's the issue that's troubling some of us. I will be very interested in how it works out for the PBEM game that is testing it out. (You know me as Paul who started playing a year ago at CoG, and just recently joined PBEM games).

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  15. I haven't tried to play with these new rules, but it seems more awkward rather than less. Instead of having a separate die roll table for each "event", now there's a single table ... but there are now several modifiers that have to be factored in. I think it's simpler if the modifiers are all factored into the table, so I just pick the right table and roll the dice. That's pretty mindless. Having to roll the dice and then add or subtract several modifiers is a pain. Not pushing the frontiers of mathematics, of course, but a nuisance.

    Frankly, I think a simpler solution would be: dump the idea of skill and just have five attributes. Skill doesn't really add anything to the game. It's just an extra complexity.

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  16. It's been a long time since we've had a comment in this thread, Jay... but I agree with you. I much preferred it when a dice roll was either not available or an option of dire consequences. Thanks!

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